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OPINION

5 July 2003

Iraq needs ‘old friends’ in charge to feel secure

Things are not going well in Iraq. Before long the toll of US soldiers killed since the fall of Baghdad will outnumber the 160 troops who lost their lives in the campaign, and repression will appear as an inevitable response that will further alienate Iraqis. Worse yet, the likelihood of some big bomb ­ Oklahoma-city style, or Beirut or Nairobi ­ will send a shockwave throughout the world. This must be prevented. Although the point of no return has not been reached yet, the background and behavior of those in charge do not bode well.
On the UN side, the old-boy apparatchik network, epitomized by Kofi Annan and his envoy to Baghdad Sergio de Mello, is in a tough position. While it may be crucial to have the UN  in Iraq, one recalls that these top UN officials scarcely said a word in the past on Saddam Hussein’s human rights record. Kofi Annan and his previous envoy, Lakhdar Ibrahimi, are remembered in Iraq for the deal struck with Tarek Aziz in February 1998 ­ Saddam Hussein did not deign show up at the triumphal signing ceremony. With that deal, infamous in Iraqi memory, they delayed for five years the need to confront the regime, while consecrating the status quo in favor of leaving the dictator in power.
De Mello’s appointment also comes as a surprise: Not a single meaningful statement on Saddam Hussein’s human rights record is associated with him, despite his eight-month-long position as human rights high commissioner. It is also puzzling to see a person in charge of human rights the world over take on a narrow Iraqi mandate for only four months, presumably because he wants to keep the two positions simultaneously. If this is a career move, it is in bad taste.
Also, nothing from either Annan or de Mello has been heard since on the horror of the mass graves discovered across Iraq, let alone how to establish the accountability of those responsible for them or what to do to prevent further bloodshed in Iraq. The point is this: UN apparatchiks cannot bring confidence to Iraqis after leaving them to their fate for at least a decade, because a central issue of accountability is missing. Iraqis are right to wonder about their country which, by UN fiat, is being run by people whom they do not associate with either their previous suffering or their present “liberation.”
The same is happening, though differently, at the level of the top American appointees. The difference is that the American officials in Iraq can at least claim that without their government’s decision, Saddam Hussein would still be in power. The problem is that the US State Department and the US Defense Department are at loggerheads, with the CIA heavily supportive of the former. Meanwhile the US Congress is wavering between blind support for Defense Secretary Ronald Rumsfeld, and insistently questioning the issue of weapons of mass destruction. In this bureaucratic tug of war, US Secretary of State Colin Powell and CIA Director George Tenet are seeking to profit from a war they did not want initiated in the first place, and are now trying to advance their position by insisting on shaping Iraq’s future.
The American civilian representative in Iraq, L. Paul Bremer, is the product of the continued bureaucratic wrangling. Bremer, like the UN apparatchiks, is not readily identifiable to Iraqis as one who advanced their freedom. He has unnecessarily delayed the appointment of a transitional Iraqi government and has done himself no good through the offhand dissolution of the Iraqi Army, leaving 350,000 troops jobless and with no minimal safety net. This is compounded by that Iraqis see Bremer as a protege of the unpopular former US Secretary of State Henry Kissinger ­ hardly a paragon of democracy in modern world history. Bremer, whose toughness doesn’t seem to be bolstered by natural liberal convictions, appears unable to articulate a convincing democratic horizon for the Iraqi people. All his acts and declarations are reminiscent of traditional British colonialism.
A clear vision for Iraqi democracy is needed immediately, but men (and women) are no less important. There is no democracy without convinced, seasoned democrats. Any role for Annan and de Mello, if needed at all, should be restricted to humanitarian aid, while a legitimate fighter for Iraqi democracy should be brought in to articulate a serious human rights program for the country by people associated with active struggle against Saddam Hussein.
As for Bremer, perhaps the wisest move for Washington would be to announce his imminent departure, and adopt as a principle a quick rotation of their top appointee in the country, preferably with people associated with those in America who have adopted human rights as the main reason for changing the regime. In this way, ugly clientelism, which is in the nature of foreign occupation, would be avoided and a clear signal given to Iraqis that it is in America’s best interests that they rule over their country democratically. This would also allow the State Department and the CIA to undeservingly recover the terrain lost on Washington’s bureaucratic turf. As for the UN and the US, those in charge in Iraq must appear to Iraqis as people who supported them during the dark days of the dictatorship, not bureaucrats in search of a prestigious career.
The initial inclination of US President George W. Bush to support those openly associated with fighting Saddam Hussein because of his appalling human rights abuses should offer a guideline for the dominant policy that will allow America to win the peace. This also means assisting Iraqis who fought to liberate their country both domestically and internationally over the last decade.
Without such drastic changes of the ruling UN and US guard, the clock for the next history-cleaving bomb will keep ticking inexorably. A democratic causal chain is needed in Iraq and the first step is to get the right persons with the right record in place.

Chibli Mallat is a law professor and a lawyer in Beirut. He wrote this commentary for THE DAILY STAR