| Clinton’s foreign legacy in perspective
by Chibli Mallat
American domestic and foreign policy is studded with references to
universal values. Even as they were shrugging off the shackles of
British colonialism, a noted historian of revolutionary America wrote:
“Americans believed they would create, as they announced on their
great seal, novus ordo seclorum, a new order of the ages. The new
government to be fashioned in the United States might become a model
for the world.”
A century-and-a-half later, when President Woodrow Wilson tried to
reshape the planet out of the ashes of World War I, the staple
reference for the proposed foreign policy was to make “the world
secure once and for all.” Some security in the 20th century!
Nor does the final paragraph of his famous 14 points of 1918 sound in
2000 any more fulfilled: “We feel ourselves to be intimate partners
of all the governments and peoples associated together against the
Imperialists. We cannot be separated in interest or divided in
purpose. We stand together until the end.”
Wilson failed on both world security and partnership against
imperialism, but the last 80 years are rightly dubbed “the American
century.”
Things, no doubt, could have been better. Many people on the planet,
especially in those countries which were subjected to European
colonialism, might have preferred governance by Wilson’s philosophy
of self-determination and his 14 points over the ills of the League of
Nations.
Instead the victors of World War I in Europe France and Britain
proceeded with a colonial division of the spoils, which wreaked havoc
on most of the world population between the two world wars, subduing,
mostly by force, any national leadership which questioned their
domination.
The tragic sequels of colonial domination continue to haunt to the
present day: societies were subjugated and disrupted from East Timor
to Palestine and Kashmir, from Iraq to Rwanda and Ireland, in marked
contrast to the Wilsonian inclination of America.
Compare that un-American pattern with the right of the people to
dispose of their own destiny, which was at the heart of Wilson’s
principles, and which could have continued the founding legacy of
America’s anti-colonial history.
Still, the century, at least from a western perspective, deserves its
American tag. In western terms to include Japan, Europe and Oceania
the American people have made many sacrifices, notwithstanding
occasional disasters as in Pearl Harbor, or in Indochina and the
Middle East.
As Realpolitik became the name of the game, Wilson’s idealism became
the subject of scornful criticism by such realists as George Kennan,
the American architect of aggressive containment and military build-up
during the cold war, and Henry Kissinger, for whom there was never too
high a price for power.
For them, only a confrontational, tunneled vision of communism could
succeed in undoing the “Evil empire” created by the USSR and they
set out to take on the world.
Fifty years after the publication in the journal Foreign Affairs of
the anonymous article which established the policy of containment (it
was written by Kennan), the collapse of the Soviet Union appeared to
vindicate the value of no less steely a concept of rollback, which
followed on the heels of containment policy and was masterminded in
the Reagan years by Richard Perle, “the dark prince of the
Pentagon.”
Hard realism in the shape of containment and rollback seems to have
paid off.
But there is another explanation, and this is a minority view toward
which I am inclined. In this view, the Soviet Union was undermined
from within by the human rights agenda of Jimmy Carter. This agenda
was vigorously pursued by his short-lived administration, despite the
occasional hiccup as in Carter’s ill-thought support for the shah
of Iran at the very moment when the shah’s dictatorship crumbled. As
a result, a world policy of human rights was institutionalised in the
late 1970s in public forums like Helsinki.
The boost to freedom provoked by the Carter administration’s
determined espousal of a foreign human-rights activist agenda gave, in
that idealist view, the winning impulse to such grassroots human
rights organizations as Amnesty International and Human Rights Watch.
It is this policy which forced the destruction, from within, of
socialist dictatorships, much more than the buildup of military forces
by the Pentagon. Vaclav Havel and the dissidents of the East, Mikhail
Gorbachev in his own way, are the living embodiment of the idealist
doctrine’s success.
The opposition between realists (Kennan through Perle: contain the
Soviets and roll them back) and idealists (Wilson through Carter: an
active agenda of human rights and anti-Imperialism undermines
dictatorships from within) is one way to account for the making of US
foreign policy in the 20th century.
Another way is to adopt a view anchored in domestic American
conditions.
The widening consensus among new American historians suggests that the
making of foreign policy is to be primarily explained by domestic
logic the logic of US domestic interests shaped by oil
conglomerates, “the industrial-military complex,” other business
alignments and by a special rhythm of the tugs-of-war between Congress
and the White House.
The Clinton administration has suffered from Republican majorities in
both houses (with the exception of a few leaders like John McCain in
the early days of Kosovo), and it did not dare budge, partly for fear
of being undermined in Congress.
The disastrous intervention in Somalia in 1992 added to those fears,
and no American leadership was forthcoming in foreign affairs until
all status quo options were exhausted. The case of the expulsion of
UNSCOM from Iraq, and the inconsequential response of the Clinton
administration, is another case in point.
In its most recent annual Strategic Survey, the International
Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS) emphasised two of the negative
characteristics of Clinton’s foreign policy: bogged down by domestic
politics, mostly congressional opposition, and the Lewinsky
distraction, “(President Bill) Clinton has shown no more grasp than
his many critics of how to shape the international order,” the
report rightly concluded.
The domestic prism is crucial to understanding US foreign policy, and
it has been argued by historians that US diplomacy in the 19th and
20th century constituted a faithful mirror to conflicts which were
taking place on the domestic scene, and only subsequently became
translated into foreign policy.
As “the amphibious animal,” operating on land and sea, pushed
settlements west of the Mississipi and east of the Pacific, it also
went south to establish the Monroe doctrine, and acquired a new, keen
interest in Chinese markets and in European designs.
In a variation on this theme adjusted to the Cold War, which woke up
Americans when Stalin and Khrushev developed nuclear missiles which
they pointed at them, foreign policy remained subservient to a
domestic debate, where the subtext of isolationism vs interventionism
is explained in the political alignments of the day, and not in the
apparent justification offered by foreign-policy specialists.
In a simplified view of a subtle debate, the contest in US foreign
affairs over the philosophy behind containment and rolling back of
communism, or human rights, is a purely domestic one.
The Clinton policy remained prisoner to the mould of cold war
thinking, despite the end of the Soviet Union, and much of the last
decade was a continuation of tugs-of-war between idealism and realism,
isolationism and interventionism.
Of particular concern in the wake of the Cold War is how much
isolationism characterises the Clinton administration, which always
seems to move on the international scene after-the-fact.
The killing fields in Rwanda represent that isolationist trait’s
most dramatic illustration, and was brought home in disturbing fashion
by the public atonements of the US president when he visited the
country three years after the 1994 genocide.
Similarly, domestic constraints and lack of leadership in Iraq and in
Kosovo present other serious instances of lack of leadership, and can
be measured in thousands of unnecessary casualties.
It will be hard to convince observers of US foreign policy that the
hallmarks of the Clinton administration weren’t governed by
little-principled realism and an extreme reluctance to get involved.
In the IISS report just quoted, precisely this conclusion is
underlined: “Clinton’s approach to foreign policy has been mostly
reactive.”
Beyond a lamenting lack of vision, the debate between isolationism and
interventionism, and between idealism and realism, along with the
constant appreciation of the domestic factor, must be acknowledged.
If a US president wishes to avoid ad hocism, if he wants to make sense
of any intervention on an international scale, and if he seeks to
offer a coherent foreign policy, then he must drive the scales of the
balance to lean increasingly toward interventionism and against
isolationism in the first set, and be moved by idealism more than by
realism in the second.
After all, the definition of leadership is to move ahead, and to
improve things with some sense of moral purpose.
America is better placed in terms of de facto leadership, and in terms
of resources, than any other country in the world for a successful and
principled foreign policy. If it be of comfort alike for over-cautious
US policymakers and for convinced detractors of US imperialism, nature
holds void in horror, and diplomacy is no different. In a global
unipolar world, absence of US policy is always policy better not to
be left construing the sounds of silence.
Chibli Mallat is a practising international lawyer and a law
professor at St. Joseph’s University. This is the ninth article in a
series on the American presidential elections. A view from the edge,
which sets the stage for the foreign policy of the next president. The
next article will address US federalist values for the world.
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